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Thursday, December 27, 2018

who will win 2019 Election , and who will be Prime minister?

it's really very high time India , Every one is thinking who will win 2019 election ,let us understand some equations . Uttar Pradesh has 80 Loksabha. In U.P. Trio of Congress, S.P., Mayawati. BJP Strategy is to divide Dalit & Muslim vote bank. Now, It will hard for Amit shah to divide vote & win seats.Now, Bihar has 40 seats. Here duo of Congress & Lalu Prasad Yadav will work. Dalit have 16 % vote bank & Muslim has 17% of vote bank & Yadav’s. Lalu have hold over these Vote. We know one thing very well that in Bihar Muslim Votes divide between RJD and Congress. now if they come togather they have majority of seats from Bihar .Now State like West Bengal, Kerala, Tamil Nadu where BJP has bare minimum presence. .Now BJP has only 366 seats on which they need to work hard. If we talk about state like Andhra pradesh , Telangana, Odhisa have strong presence of local party.Now, After 2019 election , Who will be Prime minister. Party which won highest no of seats will be Prime minister. Mulayam , Mamta, Tejaswani yadav, Rahul Gandhi will be choice . If our Luck favour us Politician like Chandrababu Naidu may get top post. Modi or Amit shah will not go back to Gujrat ,as they know this government will be for temporory basis , because we can check history any combined government can not be able to rule country for longer periods . Because  too many party , too many conflicts , too many compromises .if we look into history , in 1996 HD Devegowda rule’s 324 days government . Mulayam will rule 324 days government.As in 1997 Indra kumar gujral has rule 332 days government Mamta will rule 332 days government. Now congress will got to president for resignation , as congress supreme leader Rahul Gandhi is not getting chance for prime minister ,After fall of combined Government , it will be BJP chance who are are eagerly waiting for their chance . There will be again many  .This time Modi will win election. All work which is stopped will resume. We might again see some Hard decision like Demonetization & some poor implementation like GST & Demonetization. But we will be building foreign Military base in Assumption Island, Sabang Island. We might see some of worst decision, but all these worst decisions made by BJP government  is far better than any inactive government . Atleast we can see that government has some good motivation , it is different that government is not getting good success , but it is again better than 2G scam , coal scam , 'commonwealth games" scam . Some one is trying to some thing constructive , we need to appreciate . If BJP will not win 2019 election , it will affect Indian economy as well , because new government will not able to complete it's 5 years of term , and falling of ruuning government earlier than 5 year is not at all good for any country .

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